Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.733839 14.268822 15.931094 17.867451 20.064266 22.482745 25.351879
2025-05-11 10.175940 12.235726 14.643753 17.677385 21.412072 25.878465 31.652975
2025-05-18 8.430462 10.735427 13.604267 17.460949 22.545925 29.070544 38.155614
2025-05-25 7.175880 9.585890 12.747280 17.237876 23.516995 32.080214 44.805440
2025-06-01 6.268090 8.724658 12.096555 17.121477 24.520049 35.170481 51.948395
2025-06-08 5.581499 8.054934 11.588573 17.084151 25.559277 38.370954 59.658780
2025-06-15 5.180820 7.730849 11.511750 17.631307 27.489553 43.100281 70.398552
2025-06-22 4.687210 7.201155 11.051658 17.506866 28.315990 46.157103 78.824960
2025-06-29 4.209139 6.637311 10.466339 17.092272 28.583475 48.282090 85.911137
2025-07-06 3.837183 6.199801 10.028491 16.854633 29.093087 50.843141 94.114335
2025-07-13 3.657479 6.056319 10.052501 17.396975 31.019997 56.145966 108.284066
2025-07-20 3.499664 5.931329 10.089798 17.957422 33.034843 61.857811 124.169121
2025-07-27 3.295812 5.713591 9.955373 18.211989 34.551786 66.917029 139.807139
2025-08-03 3.026887 5.355208 9.535297 17.884079 34.897041 69.709177 151.122419
2025-08-10 2.794013 5.040495 9.163948 17.606805 35.306605 72.689724 163.409012
2025-08-17 2.589270 4.758883 8.826531 17.356430 35.735370 75.764594 176.477744
2025-08-24 2.419799 4.528563 8.564560 17.228074 36.403974 79.455477 191.728676
2025-08-31 2.276167 4.335183 8.355861 17.185605 37.252074 83.670418 209.108131
2025-09-07 2.206310 4.281158 8.420196 17.734085 39.508801 91.529484 237.641423
2025-09-14 2.075746 4.092652 8.190594 17.607868 40.170998 95.609657 256.678851
2025-09-21 1.929965 3.860514 7.848659 17.190236 40.078129 97.778688 270.722988
2025-09-28 1.812714 3.678321 7.596527 16.950923 40.389722 101.027437 288.595004
2025-10-05 1.769347 3.649720 7.674510 17.496577 42.752999 110.084739 326.167648